Se espera que la demanda de Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) experimente un importante crecimiento en la próxima década. marketresearch.com, el mercado global de UAV tendrá un incremento que alcanzará los 6 billones para el 2022, en comparación con los 3.9 billones en 2012. De acuerdo con Lucintel, compañía de investigación de mercados con base en Estados Unidos, la demanda por aviones no tripulados será tanto para uso militar como para uso militar. Más abajo el comunicado de prensa en ingles.
The market for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) is expected to witness a quantum leaping demand in the next decade. As per marketresearch.com, the global market for UAVs is expected to increase to around $6 billion by 2022 from $3.9 billion in 2012. According to Lucintel, a prominent US based market research company, the demand for UAVs will be for both military and civilian uses. Civilian applications will include information gathering for tackling natural disasters, weather storm tracking, managing humanitarian relief programmes as well as environment management. Likewise there will be extensive use of UAVs in defence and counter insurgency operations primarily in the areas of battlefield surveillance, border security, precision strikes and reconnaissance. With conflicts tending to be small scale, unconventional and low intensity operations in difficult terrains, UAVs have critical role in counterinsurgency operations be it in Afghanistan or in the central heartland of India as well as in aerial surveillance of critical infrastructure and coastal regions.
As per a report by Frost & Sullivan, in 2011 the Asia Pacific region was the highest buyer of unmanned systems after the USA with a combined expenditure of around $1.4 billion. It is likely that Asian countries will continue to invest heavily on UAS for both combat and non-combat roles in the years to come. One of the key reasons for this is the cost effectiveness when compared to capital intensive reconnaissance aircrafts. Furthermore, most Asian countries face some kind of insurgency problem or are involved in border disputes for which UAVs are very useful. For example, India has implemented the National Technical Research Organisation to, amongst other things, develops technology capabilities in aviation and remote sensing and has been spending extensively to improve the UAV capability of both its armed forces and the central police forces involved in counterinsurgency operations. Whilst the Indian Armed Forces now have a fleet of around 150 UAVs which are primarily of Israeli origin it is noticeable that Indian domestic companies have been developing a wide array of unmanned systems ranging from mini and micro UAVs like Netra to large UAVs like Nishant and Rustom as well as weapons delivery platforms like Lakshya and AURA.
Countries like Singapore, Israel, Taiwan, Malaysia, Japan and India now have strong UAV development programmes in their domestic industry so although leading UAV manufacturers like General Atomics, Sagem, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Dassault and Thales may see the Asian market for UAVs as extremely lucrative, the likelihood of them facing stiff competition from Asian companies especially in their own domestic markets for their share of this $6 billion market looks high.